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Probability Density Function (PDF) for Continuous Variables
A PDF for a normal distribution.
Illustration of Conditional Probability Calculation
Venn diagram with multiple arcs generated from a dataset.
Independence of Events
Venn diagram with multiple arcs generated from a dataset.
Market Outcome Conditional Probability Distributions
Visual representation of prior, likelihood, and posterior distributions.
Heat Map with Identified Risks
A heatmap showing risk levels based on impact and likelihood with labeled risks.
Common Assumptions in Risk Analysis Models
1.4.3 Assumptions in Models
Arithmetic Mean of a Geometric Brownian Motion Process
2.1.1 Arithmetic Mean as measure of central tendency
Geometric Mean in Investment Returns
2.1.2 Geometric Mean a measure of central tendency.
VaR and Expected Shortfall Illustration
2.1.2 Tools for Assessing Market Risks
Comparison of Means in Financial Analysis
2.1.3 Harmonic Mean as a measure of central tendency
Median of a Geometric Brownian Motion Process
2.1.4 Median as a measure of central tendency.
Mode of a Geometric Brownian Motion Process
2.1.5 Mode as a measure of central tendency
Range of a Geometric Brownian Motion output
2.2.1 Range
Standard Deviation of a Geometric Brownian Motion Process
2.2.3 Standard Deviation
Interquartile Range of a Geometric Brownian Motion Process
2.2.4 Interquartile Range (IQR)
Distribution of Cyber Security Risks
A bar chart showing cyber security risks across departments
Risk Assessment Heat Map
A risk heat map showing likelihood vs impact
Identifying Correlations Through Scatter Plots
2.3.3 Scatter Plots
Box Plots for Three Categories of Variables
A box plot showing the distribution of values by category.
LCR and NSFR Components - Bank Example
Bar chart showing components of LCR and NSFR.
Risk Analysis Visualization Example
Bar chart comparing risk levels across different departments.
Types of Graphs and Charts
2.5.2 Effective Data Presentation Techniques
Evolution of Asset Prices with GBM Model
Geometric Brownian Motion of Asset Prices
Continuous and Discrete Probability Functions
3.1.1 Probability Distributions in Risk Analysis
Characteristics of Stochastic Processes
Characteristics of Stochastic Processes
VaR and Expected Shortfall Illustration
3.1.3 Appplications in Risk Assessment
Markov Chain Process
Markov Chain Process
Poisson (Events) and Exponential (Event Arrival-Time) Process Illustrations
Illustration of Poisson and Exponential processes.
SDE Components in Risk Analysis
Illustration of a simple SDE dXt=μXtdt+σXtdWt with μ=0.05 * Δt and σ=0.07 * √Δt.
Gaussian Distributions with Different Parameters
Gaussian distributions with different parameters
Probability Density / Mass profiles of the Normal, Binomial and Poisson Distributions
Comparison of Normal, Binomial, and Poisson Distributions
Binomial Distribution PMF for Different Parameters
Binomial Distribution PMF for different parameters
Exponential Distribution PDF for Different Rate Parameters
Exponential Distribution PDF for different rate parameters
Assessing Capital Adequacy with LDA
Horizontal layout of histogram, line chart, and product chart with centered plus and equal signs.
Beta Distribution PDF for Various Parameters
Beta Distribution PDF for various parameters
Lognormal Distribution PDF for Various Parameters
Lognormal Distribution PDF for different parameters
Poisson Distribution PMF for Different λ Values
Poisson Distribution PMF for different lambda values
Student's T-Distribution PDF for Different Degrees of Freedom
Student's T-Distribution PDF for different degrees of freedom
Uniform Distribution PDF and CDF
Uniform Distribution PDF and CDF
Inversion from Standard Normal Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF)
PDF, CDF, and Inverse-CDF visualization of a normal distribution with random draws.
Confidence Interval Development Visualization
Regression with error bands.
Monte Carlo Illustration - 100 Scenarios - $50 Stock Price (mu = 5%, sigma = 10%) 1 Year Horizon
Monte Carlo Simulation of a Stock Price over 1 Year Horizon
Evolution of Distribution Shape Over Time
temp_max distribution analysis with density curves
Value at Risk (VaR) Evaluation using Normal Distribution
Value at Risk (VaR) Evaluation
Comparative Analysis of Sampling Methods - Credit Scores Data
4.1.3 Sampling Techniques in Data Analysis
Monte Carlo simulation for Optimal Investment Portfolio
Monte Carlo simulation for portfolio optimization
Constructing Confidence Intervals - Credit Score Data Sample
4.4.2 Constructing Confidence Intervals
Accurate Inference Process
A scatterplot showing the impact and probability of different scenarios.
Skewing Inversion from Standard Normal Distribution Function
Demonstration of skewing a normal distribution using beta distribution
Qualitative Risk Scale
Risk Likelihood Scale Table
Statistical Analysis of Simulation Results
Statistical Analysis of Simulation Results
Risk Analysis Dashboard Example
Risk Analysis Dashboard
Example Correlation Coefficients
Scatterplots showing positive, negative, and no-correlation scenarios for two variables.
Example of a Correlation Matrix
6.1.5 Interpreting correlation and regression results
KRI Monitoring Mechanism Example
A simple bar chart with embedded data.
Simple and Multiple Linear Regression Depictions
6.3.1 Linear Regression
Logistic Regression Fits
6.3.2 Logistic Regression
Normalized Residuals Patterns and Correlation Results
Scatterplots showing correlation with different residuals.
Components of Time Series Data
Time Series Components with Trend, Seasonality, Cyclical Patterns, and Random Fluctuations
Comparison of SMA, ES and ARIMA models on a sample dataset
Comparison of Time Series Models with Forecasts
Common Types of Time Series Data Patterns in Risk Analysis
Time Series Components with Trend, Seasonality, Cyclical Patterns, and Random Fluctuations
Monthly Sales Data and Decomposition
7.2.2 Time Series Decomposition Techniques
Seasonal Subseries Plots: Real Estate Prices and Variations Across Different Quarters
Seasonal Subseries Plots to Visualize Data Across Different Time Periods with Varying Levels and Variations
Exponential Smoothing Techniques and Time Series Components
7.2.4 Decompositon with Exponential Smoothing Techniques
Random Forest Workflow
7.2.5 LSTM and Random Forest for Time Series and Risk Analysis
Comparison of Exponential Smoothing Methods
Differentiated Exponential Smoothing Methods Applied to Synthetic Time Series Data
ARIMAX Forecast for Portfolio Returns
ARIMAX Risk Analysis for Portfolio Returns
Residual Analysis Plots
Residual Analysis Plots
Comparison of Moving Average, Exponential Smoothing, and Trend Line Applied to Synthetic Time Series Data
Comparison of Moving Average, Exponential Smoothing, and Trend Line Applied to Synthetic Time Series Data
Comparison of Unconditional and Conditional Delinquency Rate Forecasts
ARIMA and ARIMAX Model Application with Flat Delinquency Rate and Unemployment Rate
Example of Risk Management KPIs in Bullet Chart
Example of highlighting bars above a marker value
Forecast Scenarios Comparison
Forecast Scenarios Comparison
Comparison of Time Series Data Sectioning across Model Evaluation Techniques
Comparison of different cross-validation and backtesting techniques applied to synthetic time series data
Kalman Filter on Uptrending and Seasonal Data
Noise Reduction Techniques: Kalman Filter Examples
Differenced Data Visualization
Time Series Data Transformations
Comparison of Structural Breaks, Outliers, and Regime Switches in Time Series Data
Comparison of Structural Breaks, Outliers, and Regime Switches in Time Series Data
Monte Carlo Simulation Results
Monte Carlo Simulation for High Risk Loan Portfolio - 100 Scenarios across 12 Months
Comparison of Risk Distributions
Comparison of Normal, Student-t, Lognormal, and Gumbel Distributions
Bayesian Network for Operational Risk Assessment in Economic Downturns
8.1.3 Bayesian Networks
Flood Risk Projections for US South-East
Flood Risk Projections for Southern States
Sequential Monte Carlo Visualization
Economic Forecasting with Sequential Monte Carlo (50 Samples)
Prior and Posterior Exponential Distributions in Hazard Modeling
Visual representation of prior, likelihood, and posterior hazard rate distributions.
Demonstrating K-means Clustering and Random Forest Classification
Generated samples with K-means clustering and Random Forest classification
Infectious Disease Spread Simulation
Agent-based model showing disease spread
Risk Factor Sensitivity Depiction with Tornado Diagrams
8.4.3 Evaluating uncertainties and assumptions in the modeling results
Probability Density Functions (PDFs) of Typical Distributions
9.1.1 Identifying risk factors
Survival Function, Hazard Rate, and Cumulative Hazard Rate
Survival Function, Hazard Rate, and Cumulative Hazard Rate Visualization
Survival Function and Hazard Rate Depictions - Credit and Operational Risk
Survival Functions and Hazard Rates for Credit and Operational Risks
Survival and Hazard Rate Visualizations for a Hypothetical Loan Portfolio
Credit Risk Analysis: Survival and Hazard Rates
Random Sampling from Normal PDF Demonstrating LLN Convergence
9.2.2 Fundamentals of Monte Carlo simulations
JupyterLite Embeds
What JupyterLite embeds look like.